As we began to formulate our fantasy draft plan back in May, we discussed Brock Bowers being overvalued in early Best Ball contests. Today, we continue with our series of fantasy outlook player profiles, designed to help you create a championship roster. The fantasy community is buying Bowers at his ceiling, and he is nowhere near the value he was at his time last year. First, let us preface this by saying that regardless of the format, we are in no way telling you not to draft Brock Bowers in 2025. We are just trying to present to our readers the full overview of a player before you just blindly select them based on pre-draft rankings.
Since early in the off-season, we repeatedly stated that savvy fantasy players are on top of past season results, coaching movement, and free agency. It is a necessary grind to afford managers the best chance to build a championship roster for the 2025 fantasy season.
Brock Bowers Fantasy Outlook: You Are Buying Him at His Ceiling!
Fantasy Football Profile: Brock Bowers
2024 Year in Review
Brock Bowers burst onto the scene in his rookie season, finishing as the overall PPR TE1. Bowers hauled in 112 receptions on a massive 153 targets for 1195 yards and five touchdowns. He led all fantasy tight ends in targets, catches, and receiving yards. He was second among tight ends in fantasy points per game at 15.5, behind only Trey McBride. Bowers played in all 17 games and averaged a hefty 10.7 yards per reception.
In addition, amongst qualifying tight ends, Bowers ranked in the top six or better in target share, receiving yards per game, yards per route run, and first downs per route run. On top of that, fantasy managers were able to get Bowers in the eighth round at pick 100.5, smashing his ADP.
2025 Projection
Bowers is projected to score 197 fantasy points on 103 receptions for 1,1104 yards and six touchdowns. He is again forecasted to be the overall fantasy TE1. However, here is, for lack of better words, where our concerns come into the equation. Where does Bowers fit into the Raiders’ new coaching regime? The Las Vegas Raiders hired Coach Pete Carroll and, more importantly for Bowers, signed quarterback Geno Smith.
Smith is an obvious upgrade over last year’s signal callers, Aiden O’Connell and Gardner Minshew. They finished 2024 as QB 39 and QB 36, respectively. The question is how much better, though. Smith finished last season as QB14, and in 2023, he was QB19. Furthermore, in 2022, under Carroll, Seattle targeted the tight end position on just 26.6% of their throws. In 2023, through their first eight games, just 17.2%.
Brock Bowers Fantasy Football ADP
Brock Bowers, as no surprise, currently goes off best ball draft boards as the overall TE1 with an average ADP of 18. We feel he is not worth his current price tag and prefer to wait on tight end in our drafts and get better value.
To further the point, let’s use Detroit Lions tight end Sam LaPorta. In 2023, LaPorta finished the season as the overall TE1 with an ADP of 109.3. What happened in 2024, he was being overvalued. LaPorta went off the draft boards as the TE1 and an ADP of 36. The result, he finished as the overall TE8. Still very good, but was overvalued based on his ADP. We fear the fantasy community is making the same mistake this year with Brock Bowers. He simply is not the value he was in 2024 and is being drafted before players such as A.J. Brown, De’Von Achane, and Drake London.
Main Photo: [Kirby Lee] – USA Today Sports
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